François Gerard is a Professor of Economics at University College London and the Research Director of the Center for Tax Analysis in Developing Countries (TaxDev). His primary research interests lie at the intersection of Public Economics and Development Economics. His work studies questions related to social insurance, taxation, inequality, and the correction of externalities in low- and middle-income countries. It has been published in leading economic journals such as the American Economic Review, the Journal of Political Economy, the American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, the Journal of Development Economics, and Quantitative Economics.
Recent work by Francois Gerard
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The benefits of financial support after job loss and why programme design matters more than we think
In January 2022, the US suspended Ethiopia’s eligibility for the African Growth and Opportunity Act, ending Ethiopia’s preferential trade access to the US market, and leading to a major increase in tariffs, the loss of key buyers, and, at some compan...
Published 27.05.26
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Informality and the effects of minimum wage policy in developing countries
Increases in Brazil’s national minimum wage between 2000 and 2009 moved the country from a regime of low minimum wage bite to one of high bite. This column exploits variation in the bite of the reform across states and industries to reveal immediate ...
Published 16.12.25
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When taxpayers see unfairness, they may stop paying their tax bill
Taxpayers respond not only to how much they are taxed, but also to whether the system feels fair: inequities created by crude tax proxies can reduce compliance as much as high rates themselves. Better data and technology can help states improve fairn...
Published 16.09.25
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Sanitation and property tax compliance: Analysing the social contract in Brazil
A household’s access to the urban sanitation network can have a significant impact on whether it pays its taxes
Published 12.01.24
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Cash transfer programmes can stimulate the local economy: Evidence from Brazil
In addition to their impact on poverty, cash transfers can have positive spillovers to the local economy
Published 05.08.22
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The value of job displacement insurance programmes in developing countries: Evidence from Brazil
Income support for laid-off formal workers can be beneficial even in countries with high informality, but how the benefits are disbursed matters
Published 22.02.21
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Unemployment benefits or severance pay?
What are the trade-offs between unemployment benefits and severance pay?
Published 28.11.18
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The welfare effect of inducing persistent changes in behaviours
The welfare effect of policies aimed at changing behaviours persistently may be larger than usually measured because of 'hysteresis'
Published 02.08.18