Nigeria
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Institutions, not innovation, are the barrier to Nigeria’s agricultural productivity growth
Nigeria’s agricultural productivity deficit stems from overlapping institutional failures across seed supply, credit, insurance, extension, market access, and land tenure that collectively prevent smallholder farmers from adopting or benefiting from ...
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Why Nigeria's smallholders remain stuck: Seeds, credit, and missing data
Despite contributing nearly a quarter of GDP and employing half the workforce, Nigeria's agricultural sector is trapped in low productivity by mutually reinforcing barriers: dysfunctional seed systems, credit market exclusion, absent farmer registrie...
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Do protests work? Why political alignment determines economic redistribution
Evidence from Nigeria shows that protests can influence fiscal redistribution, but the manner and direction depend critically on the political relationship between disbursing governments and protesting regions.
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Why do many firms start informal before formalising a few years later?
Many formal firms in sub-Saharan Africa only register after operating informally for a few years in order to grow and overcome financial constraints. Evidence from Nigeria suggests that taxes and enforcement – rather than registration costs alone – a...
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How AI tutors improved learning in Nigeria
Generative AI is reshaping education, but whether it strengthens learning or undermines it may depend on how it is used. In a randomised controlled trial in nine public secondary schools in Edo State, Nigeria, we tested a six-week after-school progra...
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Who wins when public transit challenges private transit?
Introducing new public buses in Lagos improved commuter welfare through lower fares and better service, but also reduced driver incomes and increased wait times in the private sector – highlighting the distributional trade-offs of public transit expa...
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Cash transfers and agency: What Nigerian couples reveal about household power
In Nigeria, cash transfers to women increase their desire for agency but only when husbands can't see it – revealing the complex interplay between economic empowerment and social norms.
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Intensification or expansion? A new approach to measuring agricultural change
Drawing on a randomised controlled trial among rice farmers in Nigeria, we introduce a new method for linking village-level interventions with high-resolution earth observation data – which captures spatial variation in how new technologies spread an...
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The development bogeyman? Understanding the true role of middlemen
How can intermediaries improve consumer welfare in developing countries?