Conflict

Climate change, natural resources, and conflict: Navigating a complex nexus

Extreme weather and the green transition are reshaping global conflict. We summarise the evidence on this trend and explore how policy can respond.

Energy & Environment

Oliver Vanden Eynde Juan F. Vargas

Published

02.09.25

Geoeconomics and conflict: Bridging disciplines in the study of international warfare

International tensions and external wars are on the rise, with major economic implications. To study these, economists should bridge the divide between two fields: (i) research on conflict – the use of military weapons, and (ii) geoeconomics, which f...

Institutions & Political Economy

Eoin McGuirk Christoph Trebesch

Published

08.09.25

Gender dynamics in times of armed conflict: Victims, fighters, and peacebuilders

Armed conflict exacerbates gender inequality, but women are not just victims – they are also agents of change.

Social Protection

Siwan Anderson Maria Micaela Sviatschi

Published

01.09.25

The two faces of agricultural modernisation: How modern farming causes conflict

Agricultural modernisation in Brazil has driven economic growth but also intensified land inequality and redistributive conflict. As capital-intensive farming expands, it displaces rural communities and fuels organised land occupations—highlighting t...

Agriculture

Stefano Falcone Michele Rosenberg

Published

24.07.25

How climate-induced conflict is shaping rural Nigeria

As climate change stretches Nigeria’s dry seasons and disrupts traditional grazing patterns, tensions between nomadic herders and settled farmers fuel violent conflict—most intensely just before the planting season. New research shows how repeated ex...

Energy & Environment

Jeffrey Bloem Amy Damon David Francis Harrison Mitchell

Published

08.07.25

City structures are remarkably resilient: Lessons from Hiroshima after the bomb

Agglomeration economies and the coordination of people’s expectations were pivotal to the recovery of central Hiroshima following the atomic bombing.

Migration & Urbanisation

Kohei Takeda Atsushi Yamagishi

Published

04.07.25

How does social media influence conflict?

How does media bias contribute to social unrest? Theme leaders from CEPR's ReCIPE programme discuss the links between conflict and social media, as well as current efforts to forecast conflict occurrence.

Technology & Innovation

Maria Petrova Augustin Tapsoba

Published

21.05.25

When progress divides: Are multinational enterprises fuelling conflict in Africa?

New evidence using geo-referenced data across the African continent suggests that the arrival of multinational enterprises can fuel local conflicts.

Firms

Tommaso Sonno

Published

20.05.25

Displaced and divided: How some development projects undermine Africa’s pastoral communities, sparking violence

Pastoral regions of Africa are witnessing a sharp increase in armed civil conflict. Research has identified ‘mismatched’ agricultural development projects as one major factor driving this violence by displacing local pastoral groups. However, the evi...

Agriculture

Eoin McGuirk Nathan Nunn

Published

10.03.25